Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
UTR
4 - 0
HFC
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
AZA
3 - 0
UTR
72%
17%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
UTR
5 - 3
ADO
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
SPA
2 - 0
UTR
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
MVV
1 - 0
UTR
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 2
ADO
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
SPA
1 - 0
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
18%
25%
57%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
NEC
1 - 1
MVV
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 0
ZWO
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |