Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
GRA
4 - 1
UTR
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
UTR
1 - 3
PSV
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
RJC
0 - 0
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
UTR
2 - 3
ADO
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
TEL
2 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
NAC
0 - 2
AZA
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
TWE
3 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
EIN
2 - 3
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |