Utrecht vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
UTR
31%
23%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
UTR
3 - 1
SCH
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 1
UTR
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
UTR
2 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 0
UTR
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
UTR
31%
23%
46%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 1
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
HER
4 - 5
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
AZA
2 - 1
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
SCH
38%
23%
38%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |