Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
PSV
4 - 1
UTR
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
UTR
3 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 1
UTR
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
UTR
7 - 1
SPA
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
UTR
3 - 2
NEC
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
68%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
6 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 4
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |