Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TWE
6 - 0
UTR
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 0
UTR
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
UTR
1 - 1
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 3
DIF
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
DIF
2 - 1
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
ATR
1 - 3
AZA
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RKC
1 - 2
AZA
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 2
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 2
AZA
38%
25%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
18%
20%
62%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |