Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RKC
2 - 1
UTR
6%
15%
79%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 1
TWE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 1
UTR
31%
25%
45%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
GAE
1 - 4
UTR
14%
19%
67%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VVV
1 - 1
UTR
16%
21%
63%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 2
AZA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 1
GET
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
GET
2 - 0
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
3 - 0
RKC
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |