Eredivisie Round 20

Utrecht vs Ajax analysis

Utrecht Ajax
80 ELO 88
2% Tilt -7.8%
112º General ELO ranking 107º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.3%
Utrecht
21.1%
Draw
60.6%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
Utrecht
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.6%
Win probability
Ajax
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Utrecht
+3%
+3%
Ajax

ELO progression

Utrecht
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2010
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 0
FC Volendam
VOL
65%
20%
16%
79 66 13 0
19 Dec. 2010
VVV
VVV Venlo
1 - 2
Utrecht
UTR
28%
28%
44%
78 63 15 +1
15 Dec. 2010
LIV
Liverpool
0 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
85%
11%
4%
78 91 13 0
11 Dec. 2010
NAC
NAC Breda
3 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
47%
27%
27%
79 77 2 -1
05 Dec. 2010
UTR
Utrecht
2 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
47%
24%
28%
79 76 3 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2011
AJA
Ajax
2 - 0
Feyenoord
FEY
72%
17%
11%
88 79 9 0
15 Jan. 2011
GAL
Galatasaray SK
0 - 0
Ajax
AJA
31%
23%
46%
89 84 5 -1
23 Dec. 2010
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
64%
20%
16%
88 84 4 +1
12 Dec. 2010
VIT
Vitesse
0 - 1
Ajax
AJA
12%
18%
71%
88 68 20 0
08 Dec. 2010
ACM
Milan
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
44%
22%
34%
88 90 2 0