Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 1
NAC
37%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FEY
0 - 0
UTR
63%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 3
SCH
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
HER
3 - 1
UTR
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
UTR
2 - 1
RJC
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
TIM
1 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
57%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 5
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TWE
1 - 0
AJA
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
DZG
0 - 2
AJA
37%
23%
40%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |