Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 2
NEC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 2
UTR
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 1
ADO
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 0
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
TWE
0 - 0
UTR
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 1
VOL
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 1
AJA
36%
25%
40%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
4 - 1
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |