Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
UTR
6 - 1
MVV
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
UTR
2 - 1
FEY
16%
24%
60%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
VOL
5 - 2
UTR
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
PSV
6 - 1
UTR
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1997 |
FOR
0 - 5
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1997 |
AJA
5 - 0
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
AJA
4 - 0
VIT
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
FOR
2 - 1
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
AJA
3 - 2
TWE
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |