Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
59.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
SPA
4 - 1
UTR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
UTR
1 - 0
SVV
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
ADO
3 - 1
UTR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
UTR
2 - 1
RJC
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
RKC
1 - 0
UTR
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
AJA
7 - 0
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
AJA
3 - 1
VOL
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
27%
26%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
AJA
1 - 1
TWE
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |