Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
UTR
1 - 1
ZWO
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
NAC
3 - 2
UTR
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
UTR
1 - 1
NAC
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
31%
27%
41%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
VOL
0 - 1
UTR
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
ZWO
0 - 3
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
4 - 2
ZWO
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
AJA
3 - 2
GAE
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |