Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1977 |
UTR
3 - 0
HFC
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1977 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
GAE
4 - 2
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
UTR
3 - 1
TEL
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
EIN
1 - 2
UTR
38%
26%
35%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 1
AZA
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 2
AJA
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 2
RJC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
AMS
2 - 3
AJA
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |