Union Berlin Sub 17 vs 1. FC Magdeburg Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
14º
11º
22
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 6 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 4 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CZJ
2 - 4
FUB
11%
18%
71%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FUB
1 - 1
FCE
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SVM
0 - 4
FUB
24%
21%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FUB
1 - 3
HSV
25%
22%
54%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
FUB
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
1. FC Magdeburg Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 4
STP
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HBS
0 - 1
FCM
90%
8%
3%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 2
CHE
21%
21%
58%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
H96
2 - 1
FCM
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 4
DDS
19%
22%
59%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |