Ueberstorf vs Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
60.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
13º
12º
46
3º
16º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 62 |
2º
|
98% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 53 |
3º
|
82% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 48 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 36 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 33 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 25 |
15º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
49.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ueberstorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
4 - 0
FCU
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
2 - 0
GUM
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 4
FCU
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 1
BIN
24%
20%
55%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 2
PRA
52%
21%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
FCE
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TAV
2 - 3
OLD
15%
17%
68%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
OLD
3 - 3
SCH
79%
13%
9%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CON
1 - 8
OLD
29%
20%
51%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 2
OLD
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |