Twente vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
TWE
3 - 1
ADO
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
SPA
3 - 0
TWE
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
TWE
3 - 0
GAE
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
TWE
2 - 2
TEL
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1970 |
MVV
1 - 3
TWE
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
NEC
0 - 0
HFC
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
NEC
1 - 1
PSV
31%
23%
46%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
SHS
2 - 0
NEC
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
48%
29%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
GAE
1 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |