Twente vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
RJC
2 - 1
TWE
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 3
TWE
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
TWE
3 - 2
FEY
27%
26%
48%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
TWE
0 - 0
AZA
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
JON
2 - 1
TWE
17%
22%
61%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
GRA
5 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIL
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 2
GRO
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
BOS
3 - 1
GRA
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |