Twente vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
BVV
0 - 2
TWE
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
TWE
1 - 1
GAE
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
SPA
0 - 1
TWE
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
TWE
0 - 3
PSV
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
FOR
2 - 5
ZWO
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
BOS
3 - 1
FOR
54%
25%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
FOR
1 - 1
FEY
23%
24%
54%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
UTR
4 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
FOR
2 - 1
AZA
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |