Twente vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
GRO
0 - 0
TWE
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
TWE
1 - 2
HFC
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1987 |
ZWO
1 - 2
TWE
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1987 |
TWE
1 - 0
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
FEY
3 - 3
TWE
77%
15%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
AZA
0 - 4
PSV
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
FCD
1 - 1
AZA
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
AZA
1 - 1
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
RJC
3 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
HFC
0 - 2
AZA
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |