Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 4-0
Twente vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
EXC
1 - 2
TWE
34%
25%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
AEK
0 - 1
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
TWE
1 - 1
TEL
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1970 |
VOL
0 - 1
TWE
32%
29%
38%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1970 |
FEY
5 - 1
TWE
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
AEK
0 - 1
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
AEK
1 - 1
TNV
56%
20%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
TNV
2 - 1
AEK
49%
21%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
AKA
0 - 2
AEK
39%
22%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
AEK
0 - 0
AKA
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |