FC TVMK vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
2.3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC TVMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
LEV
2 - 1
TVM
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
WAR
1 - 2
TVM
10%
15%
74%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
TVM
5 - 0
TAR
87%
10%
4%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
FLO
1 - 4
TVM
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
TVM
1 - 1
TRA
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 2
TAM
53%
22%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
TUL
1 - 1
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 0
WAR
76%
14%
9%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
LEV
4 - 1
PAR
83%
12%
4%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | -1 |