FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
KYO
0 - 3
FCT
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
FCT
2 - 0
SHI
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
KAW
0 - 3
FCT
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
AVI
1 - 2
FCT
26%
25%
50%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
FCT
3 - 0
YFM
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 2
AVI
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
YFM
4 - 2
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
SAN
3 - 1
CER
38%
25%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
JEF
2 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIS
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |