J1 League Round 12

FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu analysis

FC Tokyo Sagan Tosu
81 ELO 79
-13.8% Tilt -11.1%
454º General ELO ranking 671º
14º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
47.8%
FC Tokyo
27.9%
Draw
24.3%
Sagan Tosu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
FC Tokyo
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
24.3%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Tokyo
+1%
+5%
Sagan Tosu

ELO progression

FC Tokyo
Sagan Tosu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2022
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
5 - 1
FC Tokyo
FCT
31%
28%
41%
81 77 4 0
29 Apr. 2022
FCT
FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Gamba Osaka
GAM
45%
27%
28%
81 77 4 0
23 Apr. 2022
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
2 - 1
FC Tokyo
FCT
42%
27%
32%
81 74 7 0
20 Apr. 2022
FCT
FC Tokyo
0 - 0
Nagoya Grampus
NAG
36%
27%
37%
81 83 2 0
16 Apr. 2022
CON
Consadole Sapporo
0 - 0
FC Tokyo
FCT
49%
25%
25%
81 80 1 0

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2022
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
CER
38%
27%
35%
78 82 4 0
29 Apr. 2022
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 4
Sagan Tosu
SAG
54%
25%
21%
78 78 0 0
23 Apr. 2022
SAG
Sagan Tosu
3 - 0
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
52%
25%
23%
77 74 3 +1
17 Apr. 2022
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 0
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
49%
26%
25%
77 72 5 0
13 Apr. 2022
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 3
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
45%
26%
29%
77 78 1 0