FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
VEG
2 - 2
FCT
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
FCT
28%
28%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
FCT
3 - 2
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
JUB
3 - 1
FCT
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 1
KAR
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
URA
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
ALB
28%
28%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 1
KAA
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
ALB
4 - 3
OMI
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
VIS
1 - 0
ALB
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |