Tilburg vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FCT
2 - 3
BRA
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
RRH
4 - 1
FCT
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FCT
1 - 1
HVC
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SVL
5 - 1
FCT
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FCT
1 - 1
WOE
16%
19%
66%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ALV
5 - 1
RRH
71%
16%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
RKV
1 - 3
ALV
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 2
SVL
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RKS
2 - 2
ALV
14%
19%
67%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
JUL
3 - 0
ALV
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |