FC Telavi vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
10º
8º
57
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 1
TEL
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 1
SAM
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 1
GOR
20%
27%
53%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 1
TEL
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 1
DBA
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
5 - 0
SHU
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
GAG
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 3
SAM
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 0
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
SAB
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |