FC Telavi vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
49.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
10º
8º
57
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 1
TEL
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TEL
0 - 1
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 2
GOR
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
SAB
3 - 0
TEL
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 4
DBA
15%
25%
60%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 1
SHU
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
GAG
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
GOR
0 - 3
SAM
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
SAB
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |