Landesliga Central Bavaria Round 16

FC Tegernheim vs Bogen analysis

FC Tegernheim Bogen
18 ELO 24
2.8% Tilt -5.4%
41450º General ELO ranking 13268º
1799º Country ELO ranking 602º
ELO win probability
33.1%
FC Tegernheim
22.1%
Draw
44.7%
Bogen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
FC Tegernheim
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44.7%
Win probability
Bogen
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Tegernheim
+202%
-30%
Bogen

ELO progression

FC Tegernheim
Bogen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Tegernheim
FC Tegernheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2017
SCE
SV Ettmannsdorf
0 - 2
FC Tegernheim
FCT
58%
21%
21%
18 21 3 0
30 Sep. 2017
FCT
FC Tegernheim
2 - 1
TSV Bad Abbach
TBA
36%
22%
42%
18 21 3 0
23 Sep. 2017
SVE
SV Etzenricht
2 - 0
FC Tegernheim
FCT
65%
18%
17%
18 21 3 0
16 Sep. 2017
FCT
FC Tegernheim
3 - 2
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
11%
15%
74%
16 30 14 +2
10 Sep. 2017
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
1 - 0
FC Tegernheim
FCT
84%
11%
6%
17 28 11 -1

Matches

Bogen
Bogen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2017
BOG
Bogen
1 - 1
TSV Kareth Lappersdorf
TKL
59%
21%
21%
24 22 2 0
30 Sep. 2017
SCN
SC Neukirchen
0 - 1
Bogen
BOG
57%
20%
23%
23 24 1 +1
23 Sep. 2017
BOG
Bogen
1 - 1
ASV Burglengenfeld
BUR
39%
24%
37%
23 27 4 0
15 Sep. 2017
FCS
FC Sturm Hauzenberg
5 - 0
Bogen
BOG
54%
21%
25%
24 25 1 -1
12 Sep. 2017
BOG
Bogen
3 - 0
Fortuna Regensburg
REG
17%
19%
65%
21 32 11 +3