FC Sursee vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RUS
1 - 1
FCS
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 4
ZUG
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 1
GOL
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 2
FCS
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
IBA
1 - 0
FCS
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 1
IBA
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
SAR
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 4
SAR
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SAR
3 - 0
LSS
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 3
SAR
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |