FC Sursee vs Gambarogno - Contone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
16º
6º
35
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 67 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 61 |
2º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 49 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 48 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 43 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 41 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 39 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 36 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 33 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 30 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 28 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
FCS
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 2
FCS
28%
21%
50%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
FCU
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 2
LOC
37%
23%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SCE
0 - 3
FCS
47%
21%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gambarogno - Contone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BUO
1 - 1
FCC
63%
21%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
2 - 1
GOL
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 0
FCC
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
FCC
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 0
SCE
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |