Südtirol U19 vs Padova U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
11º
7º
31
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Südtirol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ABL
3 - 0
SUD
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SUD
2 - 2
VIR
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MOD
1 - 2
SUD
48%
22%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SUD
1 - 3
SPA
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
COM
3 - 0
SUD
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Padova U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAD
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PAD
0 - 0
FER
61%
20%
20%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 0
PAD
62%
21%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PAD
2 - 1
VEN
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |