Lega Pro Round 17

FC Südtirol vs Paganese analysis

FC Südtirol Paganese
50 ELO 50
-24.3% Tilt -5.8%
437º General ELO ranking 5000º
33º Country ELO ranking 178º
ELO win probability
35.9%
FC Südtirol
29.2%
Draw
34.8%
Paganese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
FC Südtirol
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
34.8%
Win probability
Paganese
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Südtirol
+8%
-23%
Paganese

ELO progression

FC Südtirol
Paganese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Südtirol
FC Südtirol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2010
PAV
Pavia
2 - 1
FC Südtirol
FCS
40%
27%
33%
50 47 3 0
28 Nov. 2010
FCS
FC Südtirol
0 - 0
Lumezzane
ACL
21%
28%
51%
49 62 13 +1
21 Nov. 2010
SOR
Sorrento
3 - 2
FC Südtirol
FCS
70%
19%
11%
50 62 12 -1
14 Nov. 2010
FCS
FC Südtirol
2 - 0
Pergocrema
PER
26%
30%
45%
48 58 10 +2
07 Nov. 2010
ASS
AC Monza
3 - 4
FC Südtirol
FCS
69%
20%
11%
47 57 10 +1

Matches

Paganese
Paganese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2010
PAG
Paganese
0 - 2
AS Gubbio 1910
ASG
50%
28%
23%
52 51 1 0
28 Nov. 2010
SPE
Spezia
1 - 0
Paganese
PAG
47%
27%
25%
52 52 0 0
21 Nov. 2010
PAG
Paganese
0 - 0
Como
COM
49%
27%
24%
52 51 1 0
14 Nov. 2010
USC
Cremonese
2 - 0
Paganese
PAG
71%
19%
10%
53 62 9 -1
07 Nov. 2010
ACL
Lumezzane
2 - 0
Paganese
PAG
66%
22%
13%
54 63 9 -1