FC Südtirol vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 0
FCS
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
RAV
0 - 3
FCS
24%
27%
50%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
FCS
2 - 1
ULD
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
VIC
1 - 0
FCS
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CTT
2 - 1
FCS
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FER
0 - 1
MAN
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
VIS
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 1
FER
68%
21%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
FCS
22%
29%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
SSS
0 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |