FC Sturm Hauzenberg vs SV Erlbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
61.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
16º
16º
17º
4
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
3 | 63 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 62 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 62 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 61 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 59 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 55 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 53 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 51 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
4º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 45 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 36 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 31 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 26 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
4 | 24 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 17 |
17º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
91.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sturm Hauzenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 2
SVS
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FCG
3 - 0
FCS
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SVW
2 - 4
FCS
23%
20%
58%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
SCE
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TSS
0 - 0
FCS
43%
22%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
ERL
0 - 0
DEI
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
TAM
0 - 1
ERL
37%
29%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
HAH
1 - 1
ERL
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
ERL
0 - 1
HAH
50%
24%
25%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KIR
4 - 0
ERL
32%
31%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |