Struga vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
4º
45
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GOS
1 - 0
FCS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 1
BES
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -3 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 2
ZEM
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 0
KYZ
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 1
FCR
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 2
SHK
23%
27%
51%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 3
VAR
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCU
48%
24%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
VAR
0 - 0
CSA
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 2
FCV
10%
18%
72%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |