Struga vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+99%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
6º
4º
45
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GOS
1 - 0
FCS
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 1
BES
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 2
ZEM
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 0
KYZ
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 1
FCR
31%
25%
45%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 2
SHK
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 3
VAR
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 1
FCU
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
VAR
0 - 0
CSA
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
VAR
1 - 2
FCV
10%
18%
72%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |