Struga vs Tikves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
2º
1º
37
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 2
FCS
6%
14%
80%
|
67 | 31 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
FKS
65%
23%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 3
FCS
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
SIL
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 2
FCS
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tikves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
KGE
0 - 2
TIK
9%
19%
72%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TIK
2 - 1
AKP
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
TIK
3 - 1
SHK
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SIL
3 - 2
TIK
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TIK
1 - 3
SHK
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |