UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 3-6
Struga vs Slovan Bratislava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SBR
4 - 2
FCS
67%
19%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
LLA
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TIR
0 - 1
FCS
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
FCS
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 4
TIK
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SBR
4 - 2
FCS
67%
19%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GYI
1 - 0
SBR
14%
18%
68%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SBR
1 - 0
PET
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 0
SBR
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 5
SBR
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |