Struga vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
8º
2º
62
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 2
FCS
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
GOS
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TIK
3 - 2
FCS
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 3
SIL
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
FCS
22%
28%
50%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 0
AKP
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 2
SHK
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
SHK
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 2
TIK
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 0
SHK
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |