Struga vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
8º
2º
39
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
MAK
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 0
FCS
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 2
SHK
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RAB
0 - 0
FCS
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 1
KAR
91%
6%
3%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 0
SHK
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
AKP
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 0
MAK
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 1
AKP
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ATY
2 - 1
AKP
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |