Europa Conference League qualifiers Second Round Final
First leg 2-1
Spartak Trnava vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
TNV
3 - 0
RUZ
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
HIB
1 - 2
TNV
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
HÄC
2 - 2
TNV
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
TNV
0 - 1
HÄC
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
TNV
0 - 1
PET
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
HIB
1 - 2
TNV
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
BIR
1 - 2
HIB
35%
24%
41%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
HAM
1 - 2
HIB
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
ZAB
2 - 2
HIB
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HIB
1 - 1
BAL
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |