Simba vs Tanganyika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
TPM
2 - 1
SIM
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
SAI
1 - 0
SIM
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2025 |
SIM
0 - 0
MAN
43%
28%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
AFV
2 - 2
SIM
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 22 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
VCL
3 - 0
SIM
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tanganyika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
AFV
2 - 4
FCT
24%
21%
56%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FCT
1 - 0
VCL
29%
27%
45%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FCT
1 - 2
MAN
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
FCT
2 - 5
DBL
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
TPM
1 - 2
FCT
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 70 | 37 | +1 |