Simba vs AS Malole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 4
SIM
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 1
LUB
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
DBL
0 - 0
SIM
46%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCT
4 - 0
SIM
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 13 | 59 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
TSH
0 - 0
SIM
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AS Malole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ASM
0 - 1
SAI
19%
25%
56%
|
16 | 72 | 56 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ASM
0 - 0
TSH
16%
22%
62%
|
15 | 67 | 52 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ASM
0 - 0
GBA
23%
27%
50%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASM
70%
20%
11%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ASM
1 - 0
FCT
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |