Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 5-0
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sivasspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
SIV
0 - 3
SHA
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ODE
1 - 6
SHA
14%
21%
65%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SHA
4 - 1
MED
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
TIM
0 - 0
SHA
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
VOR
1 - 1
SHA
31%
28%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sivasspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
SIV
0 - 3
SHA
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FEN
3 - 0
SIV
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SIV
1 - 2
TRA
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
SIV
3 - 1
AND
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
AND
5 - 0
SIV
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |