Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
6º
1º
23
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
ANT
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 0
POL
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
RYV
3 - 1
SHA
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 3
SKD
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
FCB
8%
15%
76%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCV
4 - 3
MET
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
POL
2 - 1
MET
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
CHO
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VOR
2 - 2
MET
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MET
1 - 3
HKR
35%
29%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |