Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
6º
1º
23
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
ANT
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 0
POL
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
RYV
3 - 1
SHA
18%
21%
61%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 3
SKD
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
FCB
11%
17%
72%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCV
4 - 3
MET
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
POL
2 - 1
MET
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
CHO
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VOR
2 - 2
MET
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MET
1 - 3
HKR
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |