Shakhtar Donetsk vs Desna Chernihiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SHA
1 - 1
ZOR
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
LYO
2 - 2
SHA
39%
24%
37%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
KPT
1 - 6
SHA
12%
19%
70%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SHA
3 - 0
CHO
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 2
HOF
58%
20%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LVI
1 - 3
DES
18%
27%
55%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DES
0 - 2
VOR
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FCK
2 - 3
DES
8%
16%
76%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DYN
4 - 0
DES
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
ARS
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |