Saint-Michel vs Sporting Bruxelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
65.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+142%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
15º
11º
50
1º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Michel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STA
2 - 1
SAI
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
EVE
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LAS
3 - 1
SAI
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 1
FCG
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAI
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Bruxelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
ETT
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
5 - 2
KOS
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
SPO
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 2
EVE
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LAS
2 - 0
SPO
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |