Renens vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STA
1 - 3
FCR
78%
15%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCR
5 - 2
USC
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SBC
1 - 1
FCR
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCR
1 - 4
WIL
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 62 | 43 | -1 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
FCL
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
3 - 3
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCO
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
FCL
75%
16%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |