Renaissance vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renaissance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
DBL
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
REN
1 - 1
TPM
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VCL
1 - 1
REN
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
LUB
1 - 0
REN
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
BFC
2 - 0
REN
43%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
VCL
4 - 2
SIM
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
RCK
2 - 1
SIM
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
SIM
0 - 3
TPM
33%
29%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SIM
1 - 0
JSK
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BFC
2 - 2
SIM
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |