Raron vs Bex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
FCR
5 - 5
RCG
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PLO
3 - 0
FCR
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
FCR
0 - 4
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
FMS
2 - 2
FCR
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
FCR
1 - 0
GRA
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BEX
0 - 0
NEX
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
RCG
3 - 1
BEX
67%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BEX
4 - 1
FCM
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
PLO
2 - 3
BEX
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
BEX
4 - 1
FCS
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |