Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 1-4
FC Rapid Bucuresti vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Rapid Bucuresti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
RAP
1 - 0
CSM
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 0
RAP
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 1
RAP
48%
28%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
MYP
0 - 2
RAP
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 2
VAS
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 0
RAP
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 3
FEY
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
TWE
3 - 4
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 4
SCH
34%
25%
42%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 1
VIT
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |